The confidence score on a forex signal is a percentage that represents how strongly multiple independent indicators agree on the direction. A confidence of 85% means many rules fired in the same direction. A confidence of 60% means only a few rules aligned.
Each rule carries a power weight (high, medium or low). Confidence reflects how strongly the winning side outweighs the opposing side, clamped between 55% and 95%. A one-sided signal where the strong rules all agree reads near 95%. A contested signal where both sides are close reads near 55%. It is a measure of how clear the setup is, not a promise of profit.
| Rules fired | Confidence | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60% | Weak alignment, consider waiting |
| 3 | 70% | Moderate, usable with tight SL |
| 5 | 80% | Strong, most rules agree |
| 8+ | 95% | Maximum, rare, high-quality setup |
Confidence is not a win probability. A 95% confidence signal does not win 95% of the time. It means 95% of the rules agree on direction, which statistically increases the probability compared to a 60% confidence signal, but markets can still move against the direction.